Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK

Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Wanderers
3 - 3
Penarol

Bravo (42'), Hernandez (58'), Santurio (69')
Univaso (30'), Bravo (39'), Garcia (80'), Lacerda (86'), Silveira (87')
Estol (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bentancourt (34', 48', 90+5')
Alvarez (42'), O'Neil (44')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Penarol
26.99% ( -0.42)	29.63% ( 0.23)	43.38% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 40.83% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.42% (

-0.84)

65.58% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.7% (

-0.59)

84.3% (

0.59)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48% (

-0.84)

41.52% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.75)

78.02% (

0.75)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

-0.32)

30.17% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

-0.38)

66.33% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 26.99%

Penarol 43.37%

Draw 29.63%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.99%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.63%	0-1 @ 15.01% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 43.37%