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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
P

Wanderers
3 - 3
Penarol

Bravo (42'), Hernandez (58'), Santurio (69')
Univaso (30'), Bravo (39'), Garcia (80'), Lacerda (86'), Silveira (87')
Estol (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bentancourt (34', 48', 90+5')
Alvarez (42'), O'Neil (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
26.99% (-0.419 -0.42) 29.63% (0.23 0.23) 43.38% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.83% (-0.779 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.42% (-0.841 -0.84)65.58% (0.843 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.7% (-0.586 -0.59)84.3% (0.58900000000001 0.59)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48% (-0.845 -0.84)41.52% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.752 -0.75)78.02% (0.755 0.75)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.316 -0.32)30.17% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.382 -0.38)66.33% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 26.99%
    Penarol 43.37%
    Draw 29.63%
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.53% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 15.01% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 43.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Wanderers
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Torque
Monday, June 27 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, June 18 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Liverpool
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-0 Wanderers
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Penarol
Sunday, June 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-2 Torque
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Penarol
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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