Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Defensor Sporting | 20 | 1 | 32 |
7 | Penarol | 20 | 4 | 31 |
8 | Fenix | 20 | -1 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
15 | Rentistas | 20 | -11 | 17 |
16 | Cerrito | 20 | -23 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
57.63% ( 1.43) | 25.4% ( -0.4) | 16.96% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 40.16% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.55% ( 0.07) | 60.45% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.42% ( 0.05) | 80.58% ( -0.05) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( 0.61) | 21.08% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( 0.95) | 53.9% ( -0.95) |
Rentistas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.89% ( -1.27) | 49.11% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.97% ( -0.92) | 84.03% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
1-0 @ 16.11% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.96% |
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