SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Defensor Sporting | 20 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Penarol | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Fenix | 20 | -1 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 20 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 20 | -23 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
57.63% ( 1.43) | 25.4% ( -0.4) | 16.96% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.16% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.55% ( 0.07) | 60.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.42% ( 0.05) | 80.58% ( -0.05) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 0.61) | 21.08% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( 0.95) | 53.9% ( -0.95) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( -1.27) | 49.11% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.97% ( -0.92) | 84.03% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 16.11% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
