Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.74%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
