Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
