SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerro Largo |
50.92% ( 0.01) | 28.27% ( -0) | 20.81% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 38.88% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.02) | 65.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( 0.01) | 84.06% ( -0.01) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.01) | 26.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 0.02) | 61.18% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.01) | 47.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.23% ( 0.01) | 82.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 16.61% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 20.81% |
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