Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
30.04%	24.41%	45.55%

Both teams to score 57.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19%

44.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83%

67.17%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29%

63.71%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2%

19.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14%

51.86%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 30.04%

Bala Town 45.56%

Draw 24.4%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Bala Town
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 9.26% 0-1 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.29% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3% Total : 45.56%