Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
