Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Boca Juniors
23.33% ( -0.16)	26.4% ( 0.09)	50.26% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.66% (

-0.45)

57.34% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.83% (

-0.36)

78.17% (

0.36)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.83% (

-0.42)

40.17% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19% (

-0.38)

76.8% (

0.38)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0.16)

22.91% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

-0.23)

56.67% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Patronato 23.33%

Boca Juniors 50.26%

Draw 26.39%

Patronato	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 23.33%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 13.56% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.26%