Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
25.83% ( 0.11) | 26.82% ( -0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( 0.16) | 57.04% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( 0.12) | 77.93% ( -0.12) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% ( 0.18) | 37.72% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.5% ( 0.17) | 74.5% ( -0.17) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( 0.03) | 24.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% ( 0.04) | 58.41% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
San Lorenzo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.83% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.35% |
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