Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
