Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
