SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
46.58% ( -0.07) | 27.36% ( 0.03) | 26.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( -0.08) | 58.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( -0.06) | 79.31% ( 0.06) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.07) | 25.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -0.09) | 60.02% ( 0.09) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0.01) | 38.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.76% ( -0.01) | 75.24% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emelec | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.06% |
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