SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%).
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Roda JC |
56.39% ( 0.04) | 21.59% ( 0) | 22.02% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.05) | 38.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( -0.06) | 61.1% ( 0.06) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.01) | 13.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( -0.01) | 40.84% ( 0.02) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.06) | 31.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.07) | 67.33% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 22.02% |
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