Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
