Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.