Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
