SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 60.93% | 23.19% | 15.88% |
| Both teams to score 43.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% | 54.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% | 75.77% |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% | 17.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% | 48.02% |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% | 82.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.36% Total : 60.93% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.22% 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.88% |
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