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League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
M

Newport
vs.
Morecambe

 
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 6-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Bromley vs. Newport
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Carlisle vs. Morecambe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 36.88% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
36.88% (1.066 1.07) 24.9% (-1.161 -1.16) 38.22% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.13% (4.123 4.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (5.265 5.27)45.18% (-5.272 -5.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (4.853 4.85)67.52% (-4.859 -4.86)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (3.058 3.06)24.11% (-3.062 -3.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (4.165 4.17)58.41% (-4.172 -4.17)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (2.443 2.44)23.4% (-2.449 -2.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (3.427 3.43)57.38% (-3.432 -3.43)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.88%
    Morecambe 38.22%
    Draw 24.89%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.225 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-1.126 -1.13)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.428 0.43)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.485 0.49)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.257 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.243 0.24)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.88%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.564 0.56)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-1.382 -1.38)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.313 0.31)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.089 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.19% (-1.308 -1.31)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.321 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.454 0.45)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.21 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.227 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.22%

Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 6-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Newport
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup


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