Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 36.88% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
36.88% ( 1.07) | 24.9% ( -1.16) | 38.22% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 4.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( 5.27) | 45.18% ( -5.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 4.85) | 67.52% ( -4.86) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( 3.06) | 24.11% ( -3.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% ( 4.17) | 58.41% ( -4.17) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 2.44) | 23.4% ( -2.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( 3.43) | 57.38% ( -3.43) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -1.13) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.88% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.73) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -1.38) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -1.31) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.22% |
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