Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
49.3% (![]() | 24.59% (![]() | 26.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% (![]() | 48.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.73% (![]() | 70.27% (![]() |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% (![]() | 19.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% (![]() | 51.46% (![]() |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% (![]() | 32.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% (![]() | 69.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 10.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.12% |
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