SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Botafogo |
36.89% ( 0.44) | 28.42% ( 0.21) | 34.69% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( -0.81) | 59.83% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( -0.62) | 80.11% ( 0.62) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.13) | 31.1% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.15) | 67.42% ( 0.15) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.84) | 32.51% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.96) | 69.04% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| America Mineiro | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.68% |
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