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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park
NL

Barry
1 - 2
Newtown

Patten (1')
Sainty (24'), Richards (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (10', 49')
Pryce (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Barry
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
40.11% (0.229 0.23) 25.19% (-0.038 -0.04) 34.69% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.81% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (0.133 0.13)46.76% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (0.124 0.12)69.02% (-0.129 -0.13)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.176 0.18)23.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.258 0.26)57% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)26.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.07 -0.07)61.13% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 40.12%
    Newtown AFC 34.69%
    Draw 25.19%
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Barry
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Barry
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-1 Newport
Saturday, July 20 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-0 Barry
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Newtown
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 4-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 5-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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