Sassuolo simply cannot keep clean sheets and are always prone to conceding more than once away from home, while Bologna rule the roost at Stadio Dall'Ara. For that reason, the hosts should secure maximum points for the first time in 2024; their local rivals will stay mired in trouble.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.46) 
