SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Newcastle United |
41.91% ( -5.52) | 23.16% ( -0.44) | 34.93% ( 5.96) |
| Both teams to score 64.28% ( 4.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( 4.69) | 37.06% ( -4.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( 4.9) | 59.25% ( -4.9) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.36) | 18.18% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% ( -0.62) | 49.17% ( 0.62) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 5.8) | 21.43% ( -5.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( 8.22) | 54.44% ( -8.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -1.73)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -1.56)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.93)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.42)Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.61)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.96)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.44)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.8) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.98)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.8)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.59)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.56)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.47)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.34)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.93% |
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