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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
VB

Dortmund
4 - 2
VfL Bochum

Guirassy (44', 75'), Can (62' pen.), Nmecha (81')
Couto (58'), Gross (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bero (16'), de Wit (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

Though Dortmund were outplayed by Stuttgart, it is difficult to see them dropping points at home against relegation-contenders Bochum. Additionally, given the visitors' poor away record and their concerning defensive record, it would not be surprising if the hosts scored multiple goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
62.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 18.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.39% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.96% (0.089999999999989 0.09)29.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.98% (0.109 0.11)50.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (0.027999999999992 0.03)9.06% (-0.023899999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.19% (0.060999999999993 0.06)30.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.070000000000007 0.07)28.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.088999999999999 0.09)63.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 62.43%
    VfL Bochum 18.92%
    Draw 18.65%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.65%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 18.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Brugge 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Phonix Lubeck 1-4 Dortmund
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3


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