SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
50.19% ( -0.06) | 23.04% ( 0.01) | 26.77% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( -0.02) | 40.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.92% ( -0.02) | 63.08% ( 0.03) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -0.03) | 16.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% ( -0.05) | 46.02% ( 0.06) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.03) | 28.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( 0.03) | 63.94% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 26.77% |
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