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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for DC United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
42.44% ( -0.48) | 24.58% ( 0.04) | 32.97% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -0.06) | 44.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -0.06) | 66.76% ( 0.06) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( -0.24) | 21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( -0.38) | 53.77% ( 0.38) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.23) | 25.98% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 0.32) | 60.99% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.97% |
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