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National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 1
Hereford

Blakeman (29')
Horbury (68'), Henley (83'), Blakeman (90+4')
Henley (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rose (79')
Robinson (89'), Gibson (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-0 South Shields
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawHereford United
32.25% (-0.338 -0.34) 25.87% (0.02 0.02) 41.88% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.188 -0.19)50.3% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.166 -0.17)72.25% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.315 -0.31)29.32% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.387 -0.39)65.29% (0.38600000000001 0.39)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.82% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (0.11199999999999 0.11)57.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 32.25%
    Hereford United 41.87%
    Draw 25.87%
ChorleyDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-4 Bolton
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Wigan
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-3 Chorley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-0 South Shields
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Newport
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Boston
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Hereford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-2 Hereford
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in National League North


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