While Saturday's game is nothing but a dead rubber for the already-eliminated Comoros, Zambia need at least a draw to secure their status as group winners. The Chipolopolo boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them picking up all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 74.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 7.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.35%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.87) 
2.28) 
