Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.13) 
