SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Alfreton Town |
31.12% ( -0.01) | 26.91% ( -0.02) | 41.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% ( 0.07) | 54.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.06) | 76.16% ( -0.06) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.03) | 32.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.04) | 68.92% ( -0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.05) | 25.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.23% ( 0.06) | 60.77% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.96% |
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