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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
47.63% ( 1.46) | 23.09% ( -0.19) | 29.29% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.16) | 39.12% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( 0.17) | 61.45% ( -0.16) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( 0.62) | 16.73% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( 1.09) | 46.65% ( -1.09) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.72) | 25.7% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( -0.99) | 60.62% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.28% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.29% |
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