SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.77% ( -0.32) | 25.82% ( -0.01) | 25.41% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.27) | 53.61% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0.23) | 75.11% ( -0.23) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -0.03) | 22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( -0.04) | 55.31% ( 0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( 0.43) | 36.2% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( 0.43) | 72.98% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.76% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
