SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
21.45% ( -0.1) | 26.51% ( 0.14) | 52.04% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% ( -0.57) | 59.29% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% ( -0.45) | 79.7% ( 0.44) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.44) | 43.17% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% ( -0.37) | 79.44% ( 0.37) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( -0.26) | 22.95% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( -0.39) | 56.73% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 14.58% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
