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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
39.83% ( -0.14) | 27.53% ( 0.04) | 32.64% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.13) | 56.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( -0.1) | 77.77% ( 0.1) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.14) | 27.9% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( -0.18) | 63.51% ( 0.18) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0) | 32.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% ( 0) | 68.87% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.63% |
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