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E
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
P

Estoril
3 - 1
Porto

Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 0-2 Porto

Despite already having a win under their belts, Estoril will recognise that they will probably have to win this fixture in order to progress. That may play into Porto's hands and we feel that the visitors should be able to record a hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
22.57% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.47% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)46.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.92% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.21% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.49% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 22.57%
    Porto 53.96%
    Draw 23.47%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.57%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.46%
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 53.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Mafra
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Casa Pia
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Montalegre
Friday, November 24 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
Saturday, November 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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