Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
27.35% (![]() | 24.73% (![]() | 47.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% (![]() | 47.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% (![]() | 70.02% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% (![]() | 31.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% (![]() | 67.93% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% (![]() | 20.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% (![]() | 52.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 10.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.92% |
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