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Friday, November 8
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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
P

Famalicao
0 - 3
Porto


Youssouf (29'), Aguirregabiria (77'), Chiquinho (90+1')
Youssouf (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evanilson (8'), Taremi (45+4'), Conceicao (87')
Cardoso (34'), Eustaquio (50'), Conceicao (80'), Sanchez (90'), Grujic (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Porto

Porto have an excellent record against this opponent and also have the added incentive of moving into pole position in the league standings overnight if they can claim all three points in this one. The hosts will certainly not be a pushover, but we feel the Dragons will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPorto
27.35% (0.834 0.83) 24.73% (-0.236 -0.24) 47.92% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.76% (1.443 1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (1.578 1.58)47.83% (-1.575 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (1.435 1.44)70.02% (-1.432 -1.43)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (1.485 1.49)31.54% (-1.482 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (1.68 1.68)67.93% (-1.679 -1.68)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.38200000000001 0.38)20.01% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (0.611 0.61)52.21% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 27.35%
    Porto 47.92%
    Draw 24.72%
FamalicaoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.423 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.38% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Camacha 0-5 Famalicao
Saturday, November 18 at 2.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 3-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Montalegre
Friday, November 24 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
Saturday, November 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Estoril
Friday, November 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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