SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
66.06% ( 1.26) | 18.47% ( -0.28) | 15.46% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.72) | 34.82% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( -0.81) | 56.79% ( 0.81) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.17% ( 0.1) | 9.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.37% ( 0.24) | 32.62% ( -0.24) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -1.65) | 35.47% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.76% ( -1.75) | 72.24% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.34% Total : 66.06% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.39% Total : 15.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
