SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
41.13% ( 0.47) | 23.98% ( 0.52) | 34.89% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( -2.74) | 41.08% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.52% ( -2.85) | 63.47% ( 2.85) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.94) | 20.2% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( -1.54) | 52.51% ( 1.53) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( -1.78) | 23.31% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( -2.66) | 57.25% ( 2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.89% |
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