Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
