SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
59.21% ( -0.2) | 22.47% ( 0.1) | 18.32% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.3) | 47.87% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.27) | 70.05% ( 0.27) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.17) | 15.81% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( -0.31) | 44.96% ( 0.31) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.07) | 39.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( -0.06) | 76.64% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
