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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
58.28% ( 1.5) | 20.59% ( -0.54) | 21.12% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( 1.29) | 35.22% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.76% ( 1.42) | 57.23% ( -1.42) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( 0.84) | 11.95% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.67% ( 1.76) | 37.33% ( -1.76) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.11) | 29.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -0.14) | 65.85% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.12% |
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