Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
