SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
66.09% ( -0.03) | 19.25% ( -0.02) | 14.66% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( 0.18) | 40.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( 0.19) | 62.67% ( -0.18) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( 0.05) | 11.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( 0.1) | 36.07% ( -0.09) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% ( 0.18) | 39.98% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( 0.16) | 76.64% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 66.08% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.25% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 14.66% |
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