SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
47.74% ( -0.21) | 21.5% ( 0.1) | 30.76% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 68.87% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.42) | 30.36% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.38% ( -0.51) | 51.63% ( 0.51) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( -0.22) | 13.42% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( -0.45) | 40.37% ( 0.45) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( -0.14) | 20.46% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( -0.23) | 52.93% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.76% |
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