SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
44.91% ( -0.39) | 26.2% ( 0.05) | 28.9% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( -0.03) | 52.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.02) | 74.57% ( 0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.2) | 23.5% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -0.29) | 57.54% ( 0.29) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.25) | 33.05% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0.27) | 69.64% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.9% |
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