Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
31.72%	27.58%	40.7%

Both teams to score 48.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79%

33.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19%

69.81%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41%

27.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88%

63.12%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 31.72%

Penarol 40.69%

Draw 27.57%

Liverpool	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.72%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.69%