SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
51.21% ( 0.12) | 23.93% ( 0.04) | 24.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.29) | 46.33% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( -0.27) | 68.62% ( 0.27) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.06) | 18.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( -0.11) | 49.05% ( 0.11) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.28) | 32.72% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( -0.32) | 69.28% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
