SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 4-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.96%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
86.32% ( -1.84) | 8.96% ( 0.95) | 4.72% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.31) | 21.12% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.43) | 39.67% ( 0.43) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.75% ( -0.29) | 3.24% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.63% ( -1) | 14.36% ( 0.99) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.45% ( 3.34) | 46.55% ( -3.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.85% ( 2.43) | 82.14% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.75)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.69)1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.37)6-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.26)5-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)7-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.3)7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)6-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.53% Total : 86.32% | 1-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.38)0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 8.96% | 1-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.05% Total : 4.72% |
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