SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
70.69% ( 0.01) | 16.95% ( -0) | 12.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.01) | 34.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( -0.01) | 56.78% ( 0.02) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( 0) | 8.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% ( -0) | 30.08% ( 0) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( -0.02) | 39.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% ( -0.02) | 76.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 70.68% | 1-1 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.36% |
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