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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
46.18% ( -0.46) | 24.24% ( -0.04) | 29.58% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.45) | 44.33% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.44) | 66.7% ( -0.44) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% ( -0.01) | 19.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.89% ( -0.02) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.57) | 28.12% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.71) | 63.8% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.58% |
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