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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
S

Montpellier
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Savanier (67' pen.)
Ferri (21'), Sagnan (53'), Nordin (78'), Al Tamari (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diarra (58')
Sylla (27'), Doukoure (82'), Fila (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-2 Strasbourg

Both meetings between these two sides last season ended in a 2-2 draw, while they have also drawn each of the two times they have faced each other on the opening day of a top-flight campaign, and we believe this one will also end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
46.71% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 26.53% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 26.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.8% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.183 -0.18)55.41% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (-0.148 -0.15)76.6% (0.149 0.15)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.111 -0.11)23.7% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (-0.161 -0.16)57.82% (0.162 0.16)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)36.04% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)72.82% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 46.71%
    Strasbourg 26.76%
    Draw 26.53%
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Martigues
Wednesday, August 7 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, August 4 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 St Etienne
Wednesday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Montpellier
Saturday, July 27 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Girona 3-3 Montpellier
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Karlsruher 4-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, July 27 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-4 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 13 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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